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Analyse Technique
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Danyves
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MessagePosté le: Jeu 7 Mar - 17:56 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

Mark Hulbert: VIX has market-timing limitations

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Danyves
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MessagePosté le: Mer 13 Mar - 19:14 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

MARK HULBERT Archives | Email alerts
March 13, 2013, 8:30 a.m. EDT
What’s the best length for a moving average?Commentary: Trend-following indicators won’t pick the top


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MessagePosté le: Mer 13 Mar - 23:08 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/streetools/stock_quotes.aspx?ticker=BBRY




BlackBerry gets late boost; Netflix leads techs


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Danyves
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MessagePosté le: Jeu 14 Mar - 03:24 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

Des outils (USA)


Back Online!By THERESA W. CAREY
Investors who've been away will be startled by the new capabilities of many financial Websites. 


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MessagePosté le: Dim 24 Mar - 19:09 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

Research In Motion Ltd (BBRY) Options Idea from BGC
March 23, 2013
By ValueWalk Staff



Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) (TSE:BB) released the new BlackBerry Z10 today. Analystshave mixed opinions regarding the launch and the future of  Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) (TSE:BB). 
 
Morgan Stanley in a recent report upgrading Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) (TSE:BB) stated: 
The largest change in our thought process on BBRY now versus 6 months ago is that we now believe the device business should be able to battle its way back to a cash flow breakeven over the next 4 quarters, therefore no longer being a perpetual drag on cash the way we had formerly modeled it. This change is based on a better understanding of the reason for the 11.8-point sequential drop in total company gross margin 3 quarters ago when we calculate device gross margin fell from +22% to -10%. We believe device gross margins have been negative for the last 3 quarters as Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) (TSE:BB) sold BB6 devices below cost to artificially maintain the company’s subscriber count. 

For those who are bearish or just want to hedge BGC has a new report looking at an options strategy. 


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MessagePosté le: Lun 15 Avr - 22:28 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant


COMMENTARY SPOTLIGHT
How low can gold and silver go?
How low exactly can the two go? A closer look provides a few targets that may help investors, writes Nigam Arora.

http://thearorareport.com/IMAGE_PAGE/chart_of_gld_lt_04_14_13.html


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MessagePosté le: Mar 23 Avr - 22:10 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

April 17The Bull Market's Last Stand?
There are two charts worth watching to figure out where stocks are headed. If they break down, it won't be pretty.


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MessagePosté le: Mer 1 Mai - 05:35 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant


COMMENTARY SPOTLIGHT
Markets say
all systems go
The Nasdaq is up more than 5% over the past seven sessions, signaling that the overall market is on solid ground technically, writes Kevin Marder.
Michael Ashbaugh charts Nasdaq breakout


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MessagePosté le: Mer 1 Mai - 16:42 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

Terrence Horan/MarketWatch
 

TRADING STRATEGIES
Cashing in on sin
In May's special report, our panel of experts explores how and whether to mine profits from bad habits such as smoking, gambling and junk food.
Rolling the dice on casino stocks
Does it pay to be a sinner?
Stay away from sin


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MessagePosté le: Mer 8 Mai - 03:13 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

The Technical Indicator Archives | Email alerts
May 7, 2013, 11:46 a.m. EDT
Charting a runaway bull market Focus: Transports, Energy, IYT, XLE, GOOG, ALK, CACI, IRBT


By Michael Ashbaugh, MarketWatch
Editor’s Note: This is a free edition of The Technical Indicator, a daily MarketWatch subscriber newsletter. To get this column, including 100 technical stock picks every month, click here.
CINCINNATI (MarketWatch) — The major U.S. stock benchmarks have sustained a break to less-charted territory.
In fact, the S&P 500 Index and the Dow industrials have reached all-time highs, and the longer-term path of least resistance technically points higher, as detailed below.


Before detailing the U.S. markets’ wider view, the S&P 500’s hourly chart highlights the past two weeks.
As illustrated, the S&P has sustained its latest break to all-time highs.
From current levels, modest support rests at 1,614 (Monday’s low) and is followed by a firmer floor at the April peak of 1,597.


Meanwhile, the Dow industrials’ near-term backdrop is similar.
Here again, the blue-chip benchmark has sustained its break to record territory.
Looking ahead, initial support holds at 14,940, and is followed by the April peak of 14,887 (illustrated on the daily chart).


And the Nasdaq Composite has also taken flight.
From current levels, first support holds at the top of last week’s gap — Nasdaq 3,370 — and is followed by the bottom of the gap at 3,345.


Widening the view to six months adds perspective.
On this wider view, the Nasdaq has confirmed its uptrend with last week’s breakout.
The index is now traversing less-charted territory, and though near-term extended, its longer-term path of least resistance points higher.


Moving to the Dow, its six-month backdrop remains bullish.
Its first notable support rests at its breakout point, the April peak of 14,887.


And the S&P 500 has also rallied to record territory.
First support now holds at its breakout point, spanning from 1,597 to the 1,600 mark, detailed last week.
The bigger picture
As detailed above, the major U.S. benchmarks have sustained a break to less-charted territory.
The S&P 500 and the Dow industrials have notched all-time highs, while the Nasdaq Composite has reached a 12-year peak.
But even beyond the headline benchmarks, the early-May rally has been broadly-based.


Starting with the small-caps, the iShares Russell 2000 Index IWM +0.82%  has gapped to all-time highs, clearing resistance at the March peak.


Meanwhile, the SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF MDY +0.79%  has also reached record territory.
Granted, the small- and mid-cap breakouts have been underpinned by sluggish volume, though the participation is constructive when placed in broad-market context.
Each group’s uptrend has been confirmed.


Moving to the headline technical event, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has sustained a break to all-time highs.
The chart above is a 20-year view: Each bar represents one month.
Consider that the downdrafts from the 2000 and 2007 peaks were unexpectedly severe, and the S&P’s upside follow-through from current levels is a question mark.

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Danyves
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MessagePosté le: Jeu 9 Mai - 21:27 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant


oliver Pursche
Put a collar on Apple
Here's a wonderful strategy on trading Apple stock as market moves to seasonal uncertainty.
• More market views and investing insights


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MessagePosté le: Sam 8 Juin - 21:01 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant


Michael Sincere
How to survive a stock crash
Commentary: Why the fear of a market crash is worse than the crash itself and what you can do.
• Why I quit using stop-loss orders




Michael Sincere's Long-Term Trader Archives | Email alerts
May 9, 2013, 8:31 a.m. EDT
Why I stopped using stop loss orders Commentary: Price alerts offer greater control over trades



By Michael Sincere
MIAMI (MarketWatch) — I believe in stop loss orders to protect stock positions or to lock in gains. When the stop loss is triggered, your stock is automatically sold at the market at the best available price.
The best available price? Unfortunately, that can be a misnomer.
In a normal market (if there is such a thing), the stop loss can work as intended. You buy a stock at $50, and enter a stop loss order to sell at $47.50, which limits your loss to 5%.
Click to Play


Three stocks to buy with a 5% dividend yield
Dividends are all the rage for investors who want more income and are willing to take on a little more risk. MarketWatch's Laura Mandaro discusses three stocks with a 5% yield. (Photo: Getty Images)

In reality, in a fast market when the stock gaps down (during flash crashes, breaking news, or fake tweets), your stop loss is triggered. The bad news is that it will be triggered at the next available market price, which could be many points lower.
In other words, your stock could be automatically sold at the lowest price, and instead of locking in a 5% loss, you could lose much more.
Another problem with a stop loss order is that when you enter it into the computer, the order is transparent. A game that some market-makers played (these days, it will be computer algorithms) is “run the stops,” when the stock is forced low enough to trigger a large cluster of stop loss orders (usually at round numbers or well-known support and resistance levels). After the stock is sold at a popular stop loss price, the stock reverses direction and rallies.
The biggest problem with stop losses is that you have given up control of your sell order to the computer. During volatile markets, that can cost you money. But there is an alternative.

Price alerts


I still believe in stop losses, but not the automatic kind. Rather than using automatic stop losses, I set up price alerts for the securities I bought (and for those I plan to buy). For example, if I buy XYZ stock at $20 per share, I might set a price alert at $19 (5% loss), and also at $25 (25% gain).
If the $19 alert is triggered, I am notified by email and text message. Next, I’ll turn to my mobile device and decide what action to take. More than likely, I’ll sell depending on market conditions. And if the $25 price alert is triggered, I might sell for a profit or set new price alerts.
The main point is that I am in control of my sell orders. Technology has made price alerts more practicable than in the old days. First, because of mobile devices, you are notified instantly if the target price is triggered. Second, you can take immediate action. Before the Internet, you had to run to a phone and call your brokerage firm. (During the 1987 market crash, phone lines jammed because of the huge influx of orders. By the time brokers entered their clients’ sell orders, stock prices were already at rock bottom.)
Note: Stop loss orders still make sense if you are unable to access your account immediately, for example, if you are on vacation. In addition, if you are not disciplined and ignore price alerts (hoping your stock will come back one day), automatic stop losses might be a better alternative.
Alert prices
Now, let’s take a look how the overall market is doing, and which are the leading stocks within the strongest sectors. Amy Smith, author of “How to Make Money in Stocks Success Stories” and a market expert at Investor’s Business Daily, gave her view of the overall market.
“We’ve been in an uptrend since November and have had a nice move along the way with the indexes moving into new high ground. Although there were a few distribution days (selling), and the market corrected a little bit, we went back into an uptrend. Savvy investors are keeping a close eye on the volume going into the indexes.”
Smith says to watch for heavier volume as the market moves higher. “If volume continues to increase, it indicates institutions are buying shares. The key is whether the major indexes can hold onto their new highs.”
Using the CAN SLIM® investing method, Smith is also looking at how the leading stocks are doing. Are they holding or starting to correct? So far, they are holding on, but that could quickly change. “If you see indexes and leading stocks pulling back on heavier volume, that is an indication that professional buyers are lightening their positions,” Smith says. “That is the time you don’t want to be in the market.”
One group to watch: Biomedical stocks. These companies produce drugs and services to people that need health care. “We have an aging population and people need these products,” Smith says, “but if this group begins to weaken, that could also spell trouble for the overall market unless another sector takes its place.”
According to Smith, stocks in that sector that have had huge earnings increases so far (ranging from 27% to 63%) include Celgene CELG +4.20%  , The Medicines Company MDCO +1.90%  , Valeant Pharmaceuticals International VRX +0.85%  , Cigna CI +2.23%  , and Biogen Idec BIIB +1.73%  . There are also several ETFs that focus on biomedical stocks. As always, just because this industry has done well in the past is no guarantee it will do well in the future.
My opinion: Many retail investors are still suspicious of this market. Why? Because they think the market is logical. Well, if you want logic, play chess. Otherwise, until there is evidence of a correction or bear market (indicators turning down, more than two strong down days in a row, strong opening but weak close, and leading stocks unable to advance), this bull market will continue. That said, never let down your guard — this market could turn at any time.
Michael Sincere is the author of “Understanding Options,” “All About Market Indicators,” and “Understanding Stocks.” On his website, he lists signals from the most popular market indicators. Michael Sincere and Amy Smith do not own shares of the stocks noted in this article.

Michael Sincere (www.michaelsincere.com) is the author of "Understanding Options," "Understanding Stocks," and "Start Day Trading Now."


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MessagePosté le: Mar 18 Juin - 14:53 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant


  • Getting Technical | Michael Kahn When Stocks Move in Unison, Look Out
    Many sectors are rising, and falling, together, which makes it tough for investors to beat the market, and could be an ominous sign.



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MessagePosté le: Lun 8 Juil - 14:22 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

Seek Alpha analyse Hewlett-Packard :

http://seekingalpha.com/article/1536382-the-case-for-a-moderately-bullish-c…


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MessagePosté le: Mer 10 Juil - 01:02 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

The Technical Indicator: Charting an increasingly bullish backdrop

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