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Analyse Technique
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Danyves
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MessagePosté le: Lun 22 Juil - 21:12 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

Free money? Only until you’re the last fool buying
Commentary: Gayed says it's easy to get caught up in extrapolating the market's past into the future.


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MessagePosté le: Lun 22 Juil - 21:12 (2013)    Sujet du message: Publicité

PublicitéSupprimer les publicités ?
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Danyves
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MessagePosté le: Jeu 1 Aoû - 06:16 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

 
Ultimate contrarian trade
Commentary: Negative sentiment toward emerging markets is stunning, writes Michael A. Gayed.
Hulbert: P/E ratios could drop 20% and stay there for decades
How to inoculate your portfolio against the Fed’s ‘QE’ tapering now


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Danyves
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MessagePosté le: Jeu 1 Aoû - 17:30 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant


Cheaper Protection for Portfolios By MARK D. WOLFINGER
Try these less expensive alternatives to put options to hedge against stock declines.


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Danyves
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MessagePosté le: Mer 9 Oct - 22:05 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant


COMMENTARY
The trades to make as market fear builds
Tensions are rising again today, and the bulls are actually feeling some fear, writes Cody Willard.


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MessagePosté le: Mar 22 Oct - 15:46 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

Oct. 21, 2013, 1:47 p.m. EDT
Dark horse may be a game changer for Apple



By Nigam Arora
Apple has scheduled a product-announcement event for tomorrow. My expectations are that the products announced will be mostly evolutionary, but there is a dark horse that can change the game for tablet computing. The dark horse is a 13-inch iPad that is a replacement for full-fledged laptops. If this dark horse appears, the technical setup in Apple stock is such that the stock can easily rocket to $600 and beyond.
Let us start by looking at an annotated chart of Apple AAPL +0.52% .
Please click here for annotated chart of Apple.
This morning, Apple stock has moved into the resistance zone of $510 to $530. This resistance zone exists because when Apple stock was falling from its high of about $700 to under $400, a very significant amount of buying took place in this zone. It is a common investor behavior to hold on to a stock as it falls, but then sell it when it rises to their breakeven point.
When a stock rises, it typically takes more than one attempt to break out of a resistance zone. In my backtesting, stocks with good fundamentals such as Apple tend to break out on the third or fourth attempt. The reason is that by this time anyone who wants to sell has already sold. During the summer there were two attempts to break out of the resistance zone. Both attempts failed.
My expectation is that Apple will announce a new iPad mini with a Retina screen to make it competitive with Google GOOG +0.31%  Android tablets. Also Apple is likely to announce a thinner iPad with the same processor that is used in the iPhone 5S.
MacBook Pro may see a better screen and a price drop. The new MacBooks may be equipped with the newest version of OS X operating system called Mavericks.
The dark horse is a 13-inch iPad running 64-bit iOS 7 on a quad core processor with 8GB of RAM and a built-in 256GB solid-state drive. There may also be a detachable keyboard somewhat similar to the Microsoft MSFT -0.40%  Surface.
Such a device would be a game changer because it would be the first tablet from Apple that would be a full-fledged laptop replacement. This would open up a totally new segment that Apple could lead until the competition catches up. There would be big demand for such a device among corporate customers. The introduction of such a device would also calm critics who are fearful that Apple has stopped innovating.
If a 13-inch iPad is introduced, investors may consider initiating or add to an Apple position.
Disclosure: Subscribers to The Arora Report has a long position in Apple.


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Danyves
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MessagePosté le: Jeu 24 Oct - 12:18 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

LAWRENCE G. MCMILLAN

Indicators bullish but overbought 
Commentary: Market's negative tone could lead to short-term sell signals.
• Budget battles and the VIX


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MessagePosté le: Lun 28 Oct - 15:30 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

Monday intelligence: Why Oct. 28 is the year’s best trading day

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MessagePosté le: Lun 4 Nov - 11:48 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

TRADING STRATEGIES: November
Are the bears right about a November correction?


Find out what the best plays are for what is traditionally the best season of the year, as MarketWatch's team of experts takes a look ahead.
10 Novembers to remember
ETFs to ride the market’s peaks
Using interest rates to your advantage
See complete report here


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MessagePosté le: Mer 6 Nov - 23:02 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant


COMMENTARY SPOTLIGHT
Heck yeah, I was wrong! So what?
There's a difference between knowing when to cut your losses because something has altered your bullish case and with sticking to your guns, writes Cody Willard.
Hulbert: Bear sign in an election indicator
4 reasons moving-average strategies are risky
Stocks not obviously overvalued: Fed’s Williams
Nomura: Global stocks to slide 25%-50% by 2015


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MessagePosté le: Mer 20 Nov - 15:23 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

https://lyris.schaeffer.com/t/91578/4660005/14425/9/






Tracking the Bitcoin Bubble Detailing the rapid rise and fall of Bitcoin by Adam Warner 11/20/2013 7:09 AM

Stocks quoted in this article:

Imagine if you bought theiPath S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures ETN (NYSEARCA:VXX) 10 days ago and didn't adjust for the 1:4 reverse split. Or better yet, imagine if you bought it in Bitcoin.
OK, forget VXX, let's say you just bought Bitcoin -- click the chart below to enlarge.
 
Well, if you bought it half a day ago, you were down 50% at one point. But if you bought it 10 days ago, you've still doubled your money. You could have even bought Arian Foster's Fantex stock when issued and made money! Well … not really, as Fantex tabled the offering. So if anyone asks you where the volatility has gone, now you can give an answer. Remember those pathetic broad-market ranges I discussed yesterday? Well, the realized volatility in Bitcoin is something like 500.
I did this graph on log scale because … who wouldn't want to smooth out a 10-day chart? I added volume, hence the gigantic lines that run all the way from the bottom through the price charts.
Which brings up an obvious observation. The price-weighted volume at the peak a few hours ago was 18 times the price-weighted volume all of 10 days ago. As with every bubble known to man, the publicity and the interest spiked at exactly the worst time. A lot of somebodies got in at a terrible time and most likely a lot of them got right back out.
I hate using the term "bubble" as it gets applied to basically anything that has moved up for a while. The market has rallied a ton this year, so does that make it a bubble? In my mind, no. I'm not saying the market's not high, but I would say "bubble" is a poor descriptor. Is Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) a bubble? Maybe, but even flat or down markets have runaway names like that, and they all eventually either come back to earth or stall over time.
But Bitcoin? If you're going to use the "bubble" word, reserve it for something like this. Exponential price moves in a matter of hours, no meaningful value metric, price basically moving on nothing but momentum.
All I'll say is, it makes perfect sense from a public policy standpoint that you can deposit money at Mt Gox and trade Bitcoin. It's way safer than betting on a football game. I mean, what could possibly go wrong? I'm sure John Q. Public is adept enough to trade an instrument that moves at a 500-volatility clip. The math behind an NFL point spread, though, is mind numbing.
OK, I kid. I'm not going to open a Bitcoin account. If it's your thing, best of luck.
Disclaimer: Mr. Warner's opinions expressed above do not necessarily represent the views of Schaeffer's Investment Research.


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MessagePosté le: Jeu 28 Nov - 01:16 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-most-popular-stocks-among-hedge-funds-20…

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MessagePosté le: Lun 16 Déc - 00:32 (2013)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

THOMAS KEE JR.
What about buy low, sell high?


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MessagePosté le: Jeu 2 Jan - 22:52 (2014)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

"Defensive Posture"Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/02/2014 - 15:43
The combination of impulsive gains and corrective weakness from the late October lows at 78.99, repeated failure to hold a break of 79.95/79.82 area support and now bullish seasonals (January is the strongest month of the year for the US $ Index) all tell BofAML's Macneil Curry that the US Dollar Index is headed higher. While he remains a long-term Treasury bear, Curry warns bond bears to take a wait-and-see approach and fears a "defensive posture" may correct bond yields and stock prices lower.


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MessagePosté le: Lun 31 Mar - 11:46 (2014)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

Les trois phases d’un marché haussier
     Mike Maloney.
Vous êtes-vous déjà demandé à quel moment investir sur un actif et à quel moment sortir d’un marché ?Presque tous les marchés haussiers traversent trois phases distinctes, et si vous pouviez reconnaître deux d’entre elles, vous auriez énormément plus de chances d’intégrer un marché alors qu’il a encore de beaux jours devant lui et d’en sortir avant...  Lire la suite


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MessagePosté le: Lun 31 Mar - 13:47 (2014)    Sujet du message: Analyse Technique Répondre en citant

Trading Strategies: What
to keep out of a portfolio

Sometimes, knowing where not to invest can be the smartest strategy. Let our MarketWatch team of experts guide you away from danger spots.
Spring Cleaning? Toss homebuilders
China is no place for an investor
Can short-term gold traders start buying?
See complete report here


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